The 2025 Pinstripe Bowl was not the destination Penn State or Clemson had in mind when the season began. Both teams started the year with national title hopes, but injuries, roster changes, and uneven performances changed those plans quickly. Now, these former contenders meet at Yankee Stadium with one goal left: finish the season with a win.

While the stakes are lower than expected, the matchup remains intriguing due to coaching changes, missing players, and contrasting styles of play.

Disappointing Seasons With Different Challenges

Penn State’s season never fully found its rhythm. Several close losses exposed weaknesses, and late changes on the coaching staff added more uncertainty. For this bowl game, interim coach Terry Smith is leading the team, focusing on keeping players locked in and prepared despite several key opt-outs.

Clemson faced an even tougher path in terms of roster availability. With more than two dozen scholarship players unavailable, the Tigers arrive short-handed on both sides of the ball. Still, the program’s strong bowl history suggests Clemson will take this game seriously.

Key Storylines That Could Decide the Game

Clemson quarterback Cade Klubnik will play the final game of his college career. His experience and decision-making are valuable in a bowl setting, especially in cold conditions. He has been a reliable leader throughout his time with the Tigers and will look to end on a high note.

Penn State’s approach is expected to be more conservative. With key defensive players and offensive contributors opting out, the Nittany Lions are likely to rely on their running game. Cold weather in New York could make ball control and field position more important than explosive passing plays.

On defense, Penn State turns to Anthony Poindexter to call plays, while Clemson keeps stability with Tom Allen handling defensive responsibilities. Continuity may help Clemson avoid mistakes in a game where every drive matters.

Penn State vs Clemson: Matchup Comparison

AreaPenn StateClemson
Coaching SituationInterim bowl coachEstablished staff
Quarterback ExperienceLimitedVeteran starter
Offensive FocusRushing attackBalanced offense
Player AvailabilityMultiple opt-outsHeavy injury list
Bowl Game ExperienceMixedStrong history

This comparison highlights why the game is expected to be close and physical.

Spread Analysis and Final Prediction

The betting spread slightly favors Clemson, mainly due to quarterback experience and past bowl success. However, bowl games with depleted rosters often come down to effort and execution rather than reputation.

Penn State’s ability to slow the pace and control time of possession gives them a realistic chance to stay within the number. If the weather impacts passing efficiency, the gap between the teams narrows even more.

Final Pick: Penn State covers the spread in a tightly contested game. Clemson’s experience keeps them competitive, but Penn State’s ground game and focus help them outperform expectations.

For more insights, explore our college football bowl previews and game predictions throughout the postseason.

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